Lulu Sun vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇳🇿Lulu Sun
#128 · 25 yrs · Left-Handed
11w2 meetings · sets 2–3

🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wLulu Sun and Varvara Gracheva have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Sun has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lulu Sun won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lulu Sun | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 11/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 9/28 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Gracheva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 22, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | - |
| ROI % | -52.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sun has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Gracheva's 0%).
| Opponent | Sun | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | L 64 46 16 | L 62 26 06 |
| Ann Li | L 67 26 | L 46 06 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 76 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mary Stoiana
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Ella Mcdonald
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 9
Mary Stoiana
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 1st Round
Jun 2
Yue Yuan
Open 35 de Saint-Malo - Saint-Malo · 1st Round
Apr 27
Yulia Putintseva
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 1st Round
Mar 30
Taylor Townsend
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Paula Badosa
Austin 125 - Austin · 2nd Round
Mar 11
Emma Navarro
Austin 125 - Austin · 1st Round
Mar 10
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–28 matches
| Metric | Sun | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 38% |
| Sets won | 54% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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