Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Raphael PerotPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇽Luis Carlos Alvarez
#759 · 21 yrs · R
8w41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Raphael Perot
#337 · 25 yrs · R
TitleLuis Carlos Alvarez and Raphael Perot have met 1 time since 2025; Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alvarez has taken 2 sets to Perot's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luis Carlos Alvarez won at M15 Fayetteville 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carlos Alvarez | Perot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Raphael Perot | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 66% | 33/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 5/12 | 30% | 23/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 51% | 27/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 98% | 42/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carlos Alvarez 1, Perot 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alvarez
🧱 The Wall
Perot
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Raphael Perot.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
M15 Fayetteville 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alvarez | Perot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Raphael Perot | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -20.5% | +12.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.82u | +2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | BEL → SUI → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alvarez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Perot's 0%).
| Opponent | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith | W 63 46 63 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Valerio Aboian
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Felipe Rivadeneira
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Asahi Harazaki
M25 Norman 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville 1 · Final
Sep 21
Mika Brunold
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dominic Stricker
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · Final
Aug 16
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Jack Loge
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Abel Forger
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Bjorn Schoemacher
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Patrick Zahraj
M25 Wetzlar · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–78 matches
| Metric | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 65% |
| Sets won | 55% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alvarez | Perot |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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