Lucrezia Stefanini vs Yuki NaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Lucrezia Stefanini
#119 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–1
🇯🇵Yuki Naito
#286 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Lucrezia Stefanini and Yuki Naito have met 1 time since 2026; Lucrezia Stefanini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Stefanini has taken 2 sets to Naito's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucrezia Stefanini won at W100 Cary (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stefanini | Naito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucrezia Stefanini | Yuki Naito | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 15/23 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 9/24 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 20/21 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stefanini 0, Naito 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stefanini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Naito
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yuki Naito.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
W100 Cary
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Stefanini | Naito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucrezia Stefanini | Yuki Naito | ||
| 1 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +19.3% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.48u | -0.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Naito has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stefanini's 50%).
| Opponent | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Raluka Serban | W 64 36 61 | W 63 64 |
| Polona Hercog | L 67 57 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
W100 Evansville · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ayana Akli
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tatjana Maria
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Anna Sinclair Rogers
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Fiona Crawley
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Madison Brengle
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 23
Sara Saito
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Audrey Spencer
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Lucrezia Stefanini
W100 Cary · 1st Round
Jun 30
Aishi Das
W35 Taipei · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Mio Mushika
W35 Taipei · 1st Round
Jun 23
Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–46 matches
| Metric | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 55% |
| Sets won | 48% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stefanini | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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