Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Matilde PaolettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#360 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#879 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Lucija Ciric Bagaric and Matilde Paoletti have met 1 time since 2026; Lucija Ciric Bagaric leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagaric has taken 2 sets to Paoletti's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucija Ciric Bagaric won at W35 Tarvisio (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ciric Bagaric | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 15/50 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 10/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 19/29 | 30% | 3/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ciric Bagaric 0, Paoletti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagaric
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paoletti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Lucija Ciric Bagaric and Matilde Paoletti are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
W35 Tarvisio
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagaric | Paoletti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Matilde Paoletti | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -44.3% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.76u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → DEN | GER → FRA → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bagaric has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paoletti's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Mia Ristic | L 16 16 | L 75 57 46 |
| Sofia Rocchetti | W 63 63 | L 62 16 03 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Milovanovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 25
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rachel Gailis
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federica Urgesi
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 7
Maria Toma
W35 Tarvisio · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Deborah Chiesa
W35 Tarvisio · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sophie Triquart
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 25
Mia Ristic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milutinovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Despina Papamichail
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–50 matches
| Metric | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 50% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagaric | Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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