Lucie Pawlak vs Matilde MarianiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucie Pawlak and Matilde Mariani have met 1 time since 2026; Lucie Pawlak leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pawlak leading those 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Lucie Pawlak won at W15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pawlak | Mariani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucie Pawlak | Matilde Mariani | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 19% | 4/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 4/19 | 23% | 12/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 8/9 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pawlak
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mariani
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
W15 Monastir
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.98 |
| ROI % | - | +36.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUN → PER → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mariani has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Pawlak's 50%).
| Opponent | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Laura Heutschi | W 61 61 | W 62 61 |
| Arianna Zucchini | L 06 26 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Isabella Maria Serban
W35 Aix-les-Bains · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · Final
Jun 21
Victoria Milovanova
W15 Monastir · Semifinals
Jun 20
Lois Newberry
W15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Arina Arifullina
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Lamiss Houas
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 17
Livia Keller
W15 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Tasnim Ismail
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Nicole Andrea Molaro
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Polina Berezina
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Masha Lazarenko
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 30
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
W15 Monastir · Final
Sep 20
Lan Mi
W15 Monastir · Semifinals
Sep 19
Unknown Player
W15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–53 matches
| Metric | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 60% |
| Sets won | 74% | 58% |
| Games won | 62% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pawlak | Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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