Lucia Gale vs Natsuho ArakawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Sydney
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 19 · 8:00 PM ET
Book odds
Lucia Gale and Natsuho Arakawa meet next at the W35 Sydney on October 19 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gale | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucia Gale | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 10/12 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 9/26 | 37% | 15/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 5/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gale
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arakawa
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,126 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Natsuho Arakawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Gale and Arakawa have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gale | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucia Gale | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 1/1 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/1 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gale | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 3.59 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +84.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +11.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gale | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ECU → POR → EGY | AUT → ECU → POR → EGY |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Gale and Arakawa posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Gale | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Mickoska | L 57 57 | W 46 60 103 |
| Suri Suchovsky | W 64 63 | L 63 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Olivia Quigley
W35 Sydney · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Sara Mickoska
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Naomi Mckenzie
W35 Wagga Wagga · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Joellah Wan
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Roisin Gilheany
W15 Brisbane · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Suri Suchovsky
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Rianna Alame
W15 Brisbane · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Sarah Munroe
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Sara Mickoska
W35 Sydney · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Jasmine Adams
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nagi Hanatani
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Sep 29
Rira Kosaka
W50 Nanao · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Remika Ohashi
W35 Kyoto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Karen Tsutsumi
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–42 matches
| Metric | Gale | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 45% |
| Sets won | 51% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |