Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Lucia Bronzetti
#135 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wLucia Bronzetti and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Lucia Bronzetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. Bronzetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bronzetti has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Bronzetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bronzetti | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucia Bronzetti | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 9/30 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 17/59 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 12/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bronzetti 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bronzetti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2023
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | - |
| ROI % | +9.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.49u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | MKD | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alevtina Ibragimova
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Miriana Tona
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Fiona Ferro
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yasmine Kabbaj
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Dalila Spiteri
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ilary Pistola
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–59 matches
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 38% |
| Sets won | 50% | 36% |
| Games won | 50% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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