Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Lucia Bronzetti
#135 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wLucia Bronzetti and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Lucia Bronzetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. Bronzetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bronzetti has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Bronzetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bronzetti | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucia Bronzetti | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 21/64 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bronzetti 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bronzetti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Gracheva.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2023
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | - |
| ROI % | -25.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.85u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → ESP | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fiona Crawley
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 5
Lois Boisson
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 29
Irene Burillo
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 7
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Luisina Giovannini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alevtina Ibragimova
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–64 matches
| Metric | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bronzetti | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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