Lucca Liu vs Tuncay DuranPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucca Liu and Tuncay Duran have met 2 times since 2026; Tuncay Duran leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Monastir in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Duran leads 2–0. Duran has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 0 sets to Duran's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tuncay Duran won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Duran | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucca Liu | Tuncay Duran | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 93% | 14/15 | 82% | 31/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 12% | 3/25 | 26% | 14/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 78% | 7/9 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 78% | 31/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 0, Duran 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
⚔️ The Gladiator
Duran
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tuncay Duran.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 29, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Duran | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucca Liu | Tuncay Duran | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Duran |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.59u | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Liu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Duran's 0%).
| Opponent | Liu | Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Leander Tauber | W 60 62 | L 46 61 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Leander Tauber
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 29
Paul Colin
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Scott Ekindi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ergi Kirkin
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · Final
Oct 4
Emilien Demanet
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Oct 3
Jack Loge
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pablo Aunion
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 29
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Istanbul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–53 matches
| Metric | Liu | Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 72% |
| Sets won | 60% | 69% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Duran |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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