Lucca Helguera Casado vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Lucca Helguera Casado
#1113 · 20 yrs · R
17w1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇪🇸Nicolas Alvarez Varona
#686 · 25 yrs · R
12wLucca Helguera Casado and Nicolas Alvarez Varona have met 1 time since 2026; Lucca Helguera Casado leads 1–0. Across all meetings Casado has taken 2 sets to Varona's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucca Helguera Casado won at M25 Castelldefels (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Helguera Casado | Alvarez Varona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucca Helguera Casado | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 7/29 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Helguera Casado 0, Alvarez Varona 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casado
🧱 The Wall
Varona
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Alvarez Varona.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 30, 2026
M25 Castelldefels
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casado | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.74 |
| ROI % | - | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Casado and Varona posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Casado | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Oriol Roca Batalla | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
| Younes Lalami | W 36 76 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Younes Lalami Laaroussi | W 36 76 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | W 61 63 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
M25 Castelldefels · Quarterfinals
May 1
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
M25 Castelldefels · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · Round of 32
Apr 29
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · 1st Round
Apr 29
Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Marvin Moeller
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 20
Carlo Alberto Caniato
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 14
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Tarragona 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Milos Karol
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Valentin Royer
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Manuel Mazza
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Benjamin Winter Lopez
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · Round of 16
May 21
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · 2nd Round
May 21
Younes Lalami
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–29 matches
| Metric | Casado | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 57% |
| Sets won | 46% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casado | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casado | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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