Lucca Helguera Casado vs Mateo Luis Alvarez SarmientoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Lucca Helguera Casado
#1202 · 20 yrs · R
24w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇪🇸Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
#1476 · 21 yrs
Lucca Helguera Casado and Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento have met 1 time since 2026; Lucca Helguera Casado leads 1–0. Across all meetings Casado has taken 2 sets to Sarmiento's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucca Helguera Casado won at M25 Castelldefels (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Helguera Casado | Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucca Helguera Casado | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 7% | 1/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 6/33 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 4/7 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 4/13 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Helguera Casado 1, Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casado
⚔️ The Gladiator
Sarmiento
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 383 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 29, 2026
M25 Castelldefels
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casado | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.18 |
| ROI % | - | -71.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Casado and Sarmiento posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Casado | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Vantini | W 60 61 | W 60 64 |
| Lorenzo Angelini | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Javier Barranco Cosano | L 46 36 | L 46 36 |
| Oscar Jose Gutierrez | L 36 36 | L 16 36 |
| Ivan Ivanov | L 16 57 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
M25 Castelldefels · Quarterfinals
May 1
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
M25 Castelldefels · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · Round of 32
Apr 29
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · 1st Round
Apr 29
Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Marvin Moeller
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 20
Carlo Alberto Caniato
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 14
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Daniel Verbeek
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 6
Feliciano Lopez
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dino Molokova Ferreira
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Juan Ignacio Gallego
M25 Gijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ryan Nijboer
M15 Madrid · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jorge Lopez Dominguez
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jose Dominguez Alonso
M25 Oviedo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–33 matches
| Metric | Casado | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casado | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casado | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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