Lucca Helguera Casado vs Marvin MoellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Lucca Helguera Casado
#1113 · 20 yrs · R
17w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Marvin Moeller
#274 · 27 yrs · R
Lucca Helguera Casado and Marvin Moeller have met 1 time since 2026; Lucca Helguera Casado leads 1–0. Across all meetings Casado has taken 2 sets to Moeller's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucca Helguera Casado won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Helguera Casado | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucca Helguera Casado | Marvin Moeller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 70% | 39/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 7/29 | 29% | 25/86 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 89% | 48/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 72% | 39/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Helguera Casado 1, Moeller 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casado
🧱 The Wall
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marvin Moeller.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 21–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.71 |
| ROI % | - | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +5.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 741 mi · 1,192 km |
| Route | — | GER → SUI → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Casado's 50%).
| Opponent | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | W 61 63 | W 60 62 |
| Carles Cordoba | L 46 26 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
M25 Castelldefels · Quarterfinals
May 1
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
M25 Castelldefels · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · Round of 32
Apr 29
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Castelldefels · 1st Round
Apr 29
Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Marvin Moeller
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 20
Carlo Alberto Caniato
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Apr 14
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Tarragona 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Matias Soto
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Thomas Faurel
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Niels McDonald
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Raul Brancaccio
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–86 matches
| Metric | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 65% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casado | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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