Lucas Poullain vs Michael GeertsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Poullain and Michael Geerts have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Poullain leads 1–0. Across all meetings Poullain has taken 2 sets to Geerts's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Poullain won at Roehampton 1 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poullain | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Poullain | Michael Geerts | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 31/42 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 18/69 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 28/47 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 81% | 30/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poullain 0, Geerts 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 329 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michael Geerts.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Roehampton 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poullain | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Poullain | Michael Geerts | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +21.6% | -13.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.67u | -1.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,558 mi · 2,507 km | — |
| Route | TUR → GBR | POL → BEL → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Poullain and Geerts posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Durasovic | W 64 62 | L 76 26 26 |
| Alexis Gautier | W 75 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Robin Catry | W 63 63 | W 64 36 64 |
| Nikolay Vylegzhanin | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Federico Cina | L 16 36 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Michael Geerts
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Viktor Durasovic
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Max Basing
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Radu Albot
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Nicolas Robert
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M25 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–69 matches
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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