Lucas Poullain vs Michael GeertsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Poullain and Michael Geerts have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Poullain leads 1–0. Across all meetings Poullain has taken 2 sets to Geerts's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Poullain won at Roehampton 1 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poullain | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Poullain | Michael Geerts | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 19/68 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 26/44 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poullain 0, Geerts 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michael Geerts.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Roehampton 1 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poullain | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Poullain | Michael Geerts | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +40.6% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | +7.71u | -1.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 98 mi · 158 km | 1,712 mi · 2,756 km |
| Route | FRA | BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poullain has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Geerts's 80%).
| Opponent | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Domingues | W 61 61 | W 36 64 76 |
| Vladyslav Orlov | W 75 26 64 | W 76 62 |
| Viktor Durasovic | W 64 62 | L 76 26 26 |
| Alexis Gautier | W 75 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Nikolay Vylegzhanin | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Gijs Brouwer
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Joel Schwaerzler
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Remy Bertola
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Mark Lajal
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clement Chidekh
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
David Jorda Sanchis
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vladyslav Orlov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Radu Albot
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches
| Metric | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poullain | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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