Lucas Marionneau vs Will MayewPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Will Mayew have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Mayew's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at M25 Wichita (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Mayew | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Will Mayew | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 17/20 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 4/28 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 13/17 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 17/20 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 1, Mayew 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Mayew
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 9, 2026
M25 Wichita
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Mayew |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | - |
| ROI % | -16.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
M15 Rognac · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Lucas Marionneau
M25 Wichita · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 9
Simon Caldwell
Futures 2026
Jun 8
Simon Caldwell
M25 Wichita · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 2
Marko Mesarovic
Futures 2026
Jun 2
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 1
Nav Dayal
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
May 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–28 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Mayew |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 69% |
| Sets won | 68% | 67% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Mayew |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Mayew |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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