Lucas Marionneau vs Valentin LapaluPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Valentin Lapalu have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Lapalu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at M15 Dublin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 17/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 4/28 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 13/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 17/20 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 1, Lapalu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Lapalu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
M15 Dublin
? Carpet · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marionneau | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Marionneau | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 3.44 |
| ROI % | -16.1% | -23.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -2.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
M15 Rognac · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Julien Penzlin
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 7
Aidan McHugh
M25 Nevers · 1st Round
Sep 16
Tyler Stice
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 9
Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Kael Shalin Shah
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karl Friberg
M15 Malmo · 1st Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–35 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 43% |
| Sets won | 68% | 42% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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