Lucas Marionneau vs Valentin LapaluPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Valentin Lapalu have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Lapalu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at M15 Dublin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 4/26 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 1, Lapalu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Lapalu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
M15 Dublin
? Carpet · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marionneau | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Marionneau | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 3.85 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -48.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -5.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SWE → FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karl Friberg
M15 Malmo · 1st Round
Aug 12
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Axel Garcian
M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 1st Round
Jul 8
Guillaume Dalmasso
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 24
Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–26 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 46% |
| Sets won | 66% | 46% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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