Lucas Marionneau vs Timofey StepanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Timofey Stepanov have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Stepanov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Stepanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Timofey Stepanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 4/26 | 8% | 1/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 1, Stepanov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Stepanov
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marionneau | Stepanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Marionneau | Timofey Stepanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -2.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marionneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stepanov's 0%).
| Opponent | Marionneau | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Zamora | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Aziz Dougaz
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Yash Chaurasia
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Youssef Labbene
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Liam Branger
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Valentin Faure
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Andrew Johnson
M15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–26 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 58% |
| Sets won | 66% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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