Lucas Marionneau vs Sebastian GorznyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Sebastian Gorzny have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Gorzny's 1. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 4/26 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 0, Gorzny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Gorzny
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 25, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marionneau | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Marionneau | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | +3.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | +0.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gorzny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Marionneau's 0%).
| Opponent | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fenty | L 26 16 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Andre Ilagan
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Borna Gojo
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Borna Gojo
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Landon Ardila
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–26 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 45% |
| Sets won | 66% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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