Lucas Marionneau vs Noah JohnstonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lucas Marionneau and Noah Johnston have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Marionneau leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marionneau has taken 2 sets to Johnston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Marionneau won at M15 Lakewood (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marionneau | Johnston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lucas Marionneau | Noah Johnston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 4/26 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marionneau 1, Johnston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marionneau
💥 Big Hitter
Johnston
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Marionneau.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 28, 2026
M15 Lakewood
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marionneau | Johnston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lucas Marionneau | Noah Johnston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marionneau | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -12.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.28u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Marionneau and Johnston posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Marionneau | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Zamora | W 76 62 | L 57 62 46 |
| Kaylan Bigun | L 36 46 | W 36 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 15
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Noah Zamora
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Jacob Brumm
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 8
Noah Zamora
M15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Kaylan Bigun
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
May 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–26 matches
| Metric | Marionneau | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 46% |
| Sets won | 66% | 43% |
| Games won | 55% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marionneau | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marionneau | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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