Luca Wiedenmann vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Wiedenmann and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Wiedenmann leads 1–0. Across all meetings Wiedenmann has taken 2 sets to Covato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Wiedenmann won at M25 Oldenzaal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wiedenmann | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Wiedenmann | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 46/62 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 23% | 9/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 24/88 | 25% | 15/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 35/56 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 7/20 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 54/60 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 46/60 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wiedenmann 1, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wiedenmann
🪃 Counterpuncher
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
M25 Oldenzaal
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wiedenmann | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Wiedenmann | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 5.66 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.94u | -3.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wiedenmann has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Covato's 0%).
| Opponent | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Seifert | W 64 57 62 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
John Echeverria
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Isaac Nortey
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yanaki Milev
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Kai Wehnelt
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Federico Iannaccone
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Henry Bernet
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Louis Wessels
M25 Oldenzaal · Semifinals
Aug 29
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–89 matches
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 36% |
| Sets won | 66% | 39% |
| Games won | 57% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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