Luca Wiedenmann vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Wiedenmann and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Wiedenmann leads 1–0. Across all meetings Wiedenmann has taken 2 sets to Covato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Wiedenmann won at M25 Oldenzaal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wiedenmann | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Wiedenmann | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 48/64 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 23/88 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 36/55 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 8/20 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 55/60 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 48/60 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wiedenmann 1, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wiedenmann
🪃 Counterpuncher
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
M25 Oldenzaal
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wiedenmann | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Wiedenmann | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–6 | 0–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 5.39 |
| ROI % | +7.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.70u | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SUI → NED | SUI → GER → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Louis Wessels
M25 Oldenzaal · Semifinals
Aug 29
Sander Jong
M25 Oldenzaal · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Sebastian Heinrich
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Matteo Covato
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Sandro Kopp
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Ziga Sesko
M15 Trier · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jaron Held
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Sean Cuenin
M25 Uriage · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–89 matches
| Metric | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 32% |
| Sets won | 68% | 35% |
| Games won | 57% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wiedenmann | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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