Luca Staeheli vs Sebastian GorznyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Staeheli and Sebastian Gorzny have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Gorzny leads 1–0. Across all meetings Staeheli has taken 0 sets to Gorzny's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Gorzny won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Staeheli | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Staeheli | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/83 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 27/51 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 8/24 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 44/48 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 37/48 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Staeheli 0, Gorzny 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Staeheli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Gorzny
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Gorzny.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Staeheli | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Staeheli | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | +25.3% | +47.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.30u | +8.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 465 mi · 748 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Staeheli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gorzny's 0%).
| Opponent | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Exsted | W 46 64 63 | L |
| Felix Balshaw | L 67 57 | L 64 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Oliver Okonkwo
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Rybakov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bruno Kuzuhara
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Erik Arutiunian
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sebastian Gorzny
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Maxwell Exsted
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Tristan Boyer
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Mitchell Krueger
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Aidan Mayo
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Andrew Johnson
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Nishesh Basavareddy
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–83 matches
| Metric | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 53% |
| Sets won | 61% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Staeheli | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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