Luca Staeheli vs Maxwell ExstedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Staeheli and Maxwell Exsted have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Staeheli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Staeheli has taken 2 sets to Exsted's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Staeheli won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Staeheli | Exsted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Staeheli | Maxwell Exsted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 37/55 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 14% | 3/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/83 | 33% | 15/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 27/51 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 8/24 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 44/48 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 37/48 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Staeheli 0, Exsted 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Staeheli
⚔️ The Gladiator
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Staeheli and Maxwell Exsted are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Staeheli | Exsted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Staeheli | Maxwell Exsted | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +25.3% | -0.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.30u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Exsted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Staeheli's 33%).
| Opponent | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Gorzny | L 57 26 | W |
| Dennis Andre Dutine | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Matt Kuhar | L 61 36 36 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Oliver Okonkwo
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Rybakov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bruno Kuzuhara
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Erik Arutiunian
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sebastian Gorzny
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Roger Pascual Ferra
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Maxwell Exsted
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–83 matches
| Metric | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 53% |
| Sets won | 61% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Staeheli | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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