Luca Pow vs Lucas MarionneauPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งLuca Pow
#961 ยท 21 yrs ยท L
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ซ๐ทLucas Marionneau
#1104 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
4wLuca Pow and Lucas Marionneau have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Pow leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Pow has taken 2 sets to Marionneau's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Pow won at M25 Tulsa (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pow | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Pow | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 9/26 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/5 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 9/14 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pow 1, Marionneau 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pow
๐ช Counterpuncher
Marionneau
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
M25 Tulsa
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pow | Marionneau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Pow | Lucas Marionneau | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pow | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ6 | 8โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -40.3% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.43u | -2.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pow | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ozan Baris
M25 East Lansing ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Benjamin Thomas George
M25 East Lansing ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Millen Hurrion
M25 Louisville ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Louisville ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Jagger Leach
M15 Claremont ยท 2nd Round
Jun 25
Jagger Leach
Futures 2026
Jun 25
Robin Catry
M15 Dublin ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Valentin Lapalu
M15 Dublin ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Barney Fitzpatrick
M15 Dublin ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Hugo Car
M15 Rognac ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Rognac ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Francisco Rocha
M15 Castelo Branco ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tiago Silva
M15 Castelo Branco ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 26โ26 matches
| Metric | Pow | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 69% |
| Sets won | 54% | 66% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pow | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pow | Marionneau |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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