Luca Potenza vs Samuel HerediaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Potenza and Samuel Heredia have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Potenza leads 1–0. Across all meetings Potenza has taken 2 sets to Heredia's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at M25+H Tauste (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potenza | Heredia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Potenza | Samuel Heredia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 29% | 19/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 14/25 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 15/31 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 10/21 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 21/33 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potenza 1, Heredia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potenza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Heredia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Samuel Heredia.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
M25+H Tauste
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potenza | Heredia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Potenza | Samuel Heredia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -0.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.23u | -0.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → GBR | ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potenza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Heredia's 0%).
| Opponent | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Rosario Lanza | W 62 60 | L 67 76 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alec Deckers
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Aryan Shah
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Samuel Heredia
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pietro Fellin
Trieste challenger
Jul 6
Lorenzo Angelini
Trieste challenger
Jul 5
Matthew William Donald
Milan challenger
Jun 28
Elmer Moller
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Luca Potenza
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Izan Almazan Valiente
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Ignacio Monzon
Quito Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Eduardo Ribeiro
Quito Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joaquim de Almeida
Quito challenger
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 48% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potenza | Heredia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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