Luca Potenza vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Potenza and Lui Maxted have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Potenza leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potenza | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Potenza | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 54% | 25/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 16/32 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Potenza and Lui Maxted are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potenza | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Potenza | Lui Maxted | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 87% | 20/23 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 57% | 13/23 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 17% | 4/23 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 14–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +24.6% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.44u | -3.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Potenza and Maxted posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | L 36 26 | L 63 67 26 |
| Fausto Tabacco | L 36 46 | L 67 26 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 75 36 46 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Francisco Rocha
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tyler Stice
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Blu Baker
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 67% |
| Sets won | 48% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potenza | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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