Luca Castelnuovo vs Ye HongyuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Ye Hongyu have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castelnuovo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 2 sets to Hongyu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at M25 Maanshan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Hongyu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Ye Hongyu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 1, Hongyu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Hongyu
🏃 Pusher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 71% vs 🏃 Pusher across 45 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
M25 Maanshan
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hongyu's 0%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| Yaojie Zeng | W 64 63 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Thomas Nicholas Gadecki
M15 Kayseri · 1st Round
Jun 3
Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Kayseri · 1st Round
May 22
Uisung Park
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
May 6
Xiaofei Wang
M25 Anning · 1st Round
Apr 15
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Maanshan · 1st Round
Apr 8
Yaojie Zeng
M15 Maanshan 1 · 1st Round
Mar 4
Rigele Te
M25 Monastir 3 · 1st Round
Feb 3
Zhan Zheng
M25 Huzhou 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–61 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 0% |
| Sets won | 60% | 10% |
| Games won | 53% | 34% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Hongyu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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