Luca Castelnuovo vs Tsung-Hao HuangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.43 or shorter, Luca Castelnuovo has won 11 of 11 (100%). The price implied 70%, so Luca Castelnuovo has beaten it by 30 points.
At 2.68 or longer, Tsung-Hao Huang has won 10 of 26 (38%). The price implied 27%, so Tsung-Hao Huang has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Luca Castelnuovo and Tsung-Hao Huang meet next at the Shanghai Challenger on September 7 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Huang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Tsung-Hao Huang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 24% | 12/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
👑 The Complete Package
Huang
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 80 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Castelnuovo and Huang have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Huang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Tsung-Hao Huang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Huang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 3.20 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | -7.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.32u | -1.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Huang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 5 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE → CHN | CHN → TPE → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Huang's 33%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Huang |
|---|---|---|
| Duckhee Lee | W 62 64 | L 46 46 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | L 26 36 |
| Yaojie Zeng | W 64 63 | L 63 26 36 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 75 63 |
| Evan Zhu | W 63 67 63 | W 62 61 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 63 76 | L 26 64 06 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 64 57 | L 46 46 |
| Sidharth Rawat | W 64 76 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexander Vasilev
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Arjun Kadhe
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Arthur Weber
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Duckhee Lee
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tianjin · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Toshiki Karigyo
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–60 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Huang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 37% |
| Sets won | 61% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 45% |