Luca Castelnuovo vs Omar JasikaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Omar Jasika have met 2 times since 2025; Luca Castelnuovo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guangzhou Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Castelnuovo leads 2–0. Castelnuovo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 3 sets to Jasika's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at M25 Guiyang (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 14 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.42 or longer, Luca Castelnuovo has won 10 of 26 (38%). The price implied 30%, so Luca Castelnuovo has beaten it by 8 points.
At 1.50 or shorter, Omar Jasika has won 39 of 48 (81%). The price implied 69%, so Omar Jasika has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Luca Castelnuovo meets Omar Jasika in the first round of the Guangzhou Challenger on September 15. Both players sit near 400 in the rankings, separated by just two spots, and will compete on hard court.
Castelnuovo leads their head-to-head record 2-0 after two prior meetings. Recent form cuts differently: Castelnuovo has won four of his last five matches and seven of ten, though he arrives with a one-match losing streak. Jasika has gone 3-2 in his last five and 6-4 over ten, also on a one-match skid after six matches in two weeks.
Castelnuovo deploys a power-based game built on aggressive groundstrokes, but his hard court record sits at 10-10 overall. Jasika responds with a durable, grinding baseline approach and owns a 16-4 hard court record in the sample. Castelnuovo's ability to dictate points early will test Jasika's consistency; Jasika's depth and court position will ask whether Castelnuovo can maintain his aggressive pressure without forcing errors.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Jasika | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Omar Jasika | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 31/37 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 42% | 14/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 12/58 | 35% | 26/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 20/28 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 85% | 35/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 31/36 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 1, Jasika 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Jasika
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,295 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
M25 Guiyang
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 9, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Jasika | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Omar Jasika | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 73% | 22/30 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 27% | 8/30 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 17% | 5/30 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/30 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/30 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/30 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 23–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.74 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +40.7% | +10.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.29u | +3.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE → CHN | CHN → TPE → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Castelnuovo and Jasika posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | W 62 61 |
| Yaojie Zeng | W 64 63 | W 76 63 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | L | W 76 63 |
| Aoran Wang | W 64 30 | W 76 62 |
| Kuan-Shou Chen | L 76 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 76 | W 76 63 |
| Kristjan Tamm | L 67 00 | W 63 26 64 |
| Sidharth Rawat | W 64 76 | L 67 26 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 64 75 | L 57 46 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 64 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Tsung-Hao Huang
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Matthew Dellavedova
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Yaojie Zeng
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Akira Santillan
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Filip Peliwo
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Aoran Wang
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–75 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |