Luca Castelnuovo vs Moerani BouzigePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Moerani Bouzige have met 2 times since 2025; Luca Castelnuovo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Bali 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Castelnuovo leads 2–0. Castelnuovo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 4 sets to Bouzige's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at M25 Taipei (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Bouzige | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Moerani Bouzige | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 31% | 24/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 2, Bouzige 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Bouzige
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Castelnuovo and Moerani Bouzige are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
M25 Taipei
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 6, 2025
M25 Bali 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Bouzige | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Moerani Bouzige | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | -23.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | -4.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | AUS → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bouzige's 67%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 67 76 66 | L 67 36 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 76 64 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | W 06 63 64 |
| Duckhee Lee | W 62 64 | W 61 63 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 64 75 | W 67 76 76 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 64 06 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Omar Jasika
M15 Brisbane · Final
Aug 2
Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Aug 1
Shinji Hazawa
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Unknown Player
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Unknown Player
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Nikita Volonski
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–77 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Bouzige |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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