Luca Castelnuovo vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Luca Castelnuovo
#455 · 29 yrs · L
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇲🇾Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
#543 · 22 yrs · R
7wLuca Castelnuovo and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong have met 2 times since 2026; Luca Castelnuovo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Chennai Challenger in 2026 on hard. Castelnuovo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 4 sets to Leong's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at Nottingham 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Wei Kang Leong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 41% | 26/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 62% | 21/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 2, Wei Kang Leong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Leong
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Nottingham 3 Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2026
Chennai Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Leong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | +0.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Leong's 60%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 76 | L 60 36 46 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 64 06 62 | L 36 26 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 75 67 76 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 64 64 | L 26 75 36 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | L 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | W 64 75 | W 46 63 64 |
| Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul | W 75 62 | W 63 62 |
| Maan Kesharwani | W 64 62 | W 26 60 75 |
| Denis Yevseyev | W 64 67 61 | L 46 76 46 |
| Kuan-Yi Lee | W 63 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Arda Azkara
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Luca Castelnuovo
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Jun 20
Alberto Lim
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Shintaro Imai
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Kai-I Wang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Leong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.