Luca Castelnuovo vs Milos KarolPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Milos Karol have met 1 time since 2026; Milos Karol leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 1 sets to Karol's 2. Their most recent meeting: Milos Karol won at Enea Poznan Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Karol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Milos Karol | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Karol 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Enea Poznan Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +45.9% | +20.5% |
| Units P/L | +6.43u | +0.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Karol has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castelnuovo's 0%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Maks Kasnikowski | L 36 67 | W 76 26 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Dali Blanch
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tiago Cacao
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–55 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 55% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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