Luca Castelnuovo vs Milos KarolPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Milos Karol have met 1 time since 2026; Milos Karol leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 1 sets to Karol's 2. Their most recent meeting: Milos Karol won at Enea Poznan Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Karol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Milos Karol | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 44% | 22/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Karol 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Enea Poznan Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Karol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Milos Karol | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Karol has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castelnuovo's 50%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 26 62 62 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | L 36 67 | W 76 26 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Marek Gengel
Unicredit Czech Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Saba Purtseladze
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–61 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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