Luca Castelnuovo vs Max BasingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐จ๐ญLuca Castelnuovo
#455 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ฌ๐งMax Basing
#266 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Luca Castelnuovo and Max Basing have met 1 time since 2026; Max Basing leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 1 sets to Basing's 2. Their most recent meeting: Max Basing won at Nottingham 3 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Basing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Max Basing | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 75% | 39/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 28% | 19/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 60% | 29/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 90% | 44/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Basing 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Basing
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
Nottingham 3 Challenger
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Basing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Max Basing | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ6 | 11โ7 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | +13.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | +2.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | โ | 1,558 mi ยท 2,507 km |
| Route | TPE | TUR โ GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Basing has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Castelnuovo's 60%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| Sidharth Rawat | W 64 76 | W 63 61 |
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | L 46 26 | W 75 36 64 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | W 76 64 |
| Kuan Yi Lee | W 63 64 | L 46 22 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Charles Broom
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Alec Deckers
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Christian Langmo
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 17
Tiago Pereira
Istanbul Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lucio Ratti
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sidharth Rawat
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ71 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 75% |
| Sets won | 60% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Basing |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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