Luca Castelnuovo vs Matthew DellavedovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇭Luca Castelnuovo
#455 · 29 yrs · L
332 meetings · sets 2–1
🇦🇺Matthew Dellavedova
#283 · 26 yrs · R
5TitleLuca Castelnuovo and Matthew Dellavedova have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Maanshan in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 2 sets to Dellavedova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Dellavedova won at Zhangjiagang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 86% | 78/91 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 20% | 26/130 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 71% | 58/82 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 93% | 82/88 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 89% | 78/88 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Dellavedova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Dellavedova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
Zhangjiagang Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2026
M25 Maanshan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 90% | 35/39 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 51% | 20/39 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 21% | 8/39 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 3% | 1/39 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/39 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/39 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 27–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +45.9% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.43u | +3.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | 1,972 mi · 3,173 km |
| Route | CHN | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Castelnuovo and Dellavedova posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Yanki Erel | W 64 64 | W |
| Yaojie Zeng | W 64 63 | W 63 61 |
| Omar Jasika | W | L 67 36 |
| Kuan-Shou Chen | L 76 67 16 | L 46 64 46 |
| Kristjan Tamm | L 67 00 | W 64 62 |
| Hiromasa Koyama | W 36 76 61 | W 61 62 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Maan Kesarwani | W 64 62 | W 67 63 62 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Aoran Wang | W | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan · Final
Oct 11
Yanki Erel
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Jordan Chiu
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Zhao Zhao
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–130 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 70% |
| Sets won | 55% | 68% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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