Luca Castelnuovo vs Marat SharipovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Marat Sharipov have met 1 time since 2025; Marat Sharipov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 1 sets to Sharipov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marat Sharipov won at Guangzhou Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Sharipov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Marat Sharipov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 78% | 28/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 14/58 | 32% | 19/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 18/27 | 53% | 21/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 68% | 28/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Sharipov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Sharipov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 11, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Sharipov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Marat Sharipov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -57.9% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.63u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | SRB |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sharipov's 50%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | W 60 60 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 63 | L 46 26 |
| Omar Jasika | W 67 76 66 | W 64 61 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 63 76 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Alexander Vasilev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Anton Arzhankin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Franco Ariel Vazquez
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Aaron Funk
M25 Wetzlar · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrej Martin
M25 Ollersbach · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Patrick Jozwicki
M25 Ollersbach · 1st Round
Jul 22
Botic van de Zandschulp
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 60% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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