Luca Castelnuovo vs Marat SharipovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castelnuovo and Marat Sharipov have met 1 time since 2025; Marat Sharipov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castelnuovo has taken 1 sets to Sharipov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marat Sharipov won at Guangzhou Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castelnuovo | Sharipov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castelnuovo | Marat Sharipov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 30% | 19/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 62% | 26/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castelnuovo 0, Sharipov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Sharipov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Castelnuovo and Marat Sharipov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 11, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Sharipov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Marat Sharipov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 21/24 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 12/24 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 17% | 4/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 4% | 1/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +45.9% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | +6.43u | +4.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 765 mi · 1,231 km | 542 mi · 872 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sharipov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Castelnuovo's 44%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Maan Kesarwani | W 64 62 | W 61 60 |
| Omar Jasika | W | L |
| Semen Pankin | L 57 46 | W 75 64 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 76 63 | W 62 63 |
| Pavel Kotov | L 76 57 57 | W 60 63 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Ilya Ivashka | L 36 46 | L 46 63 67 |
| Ji Sung Nam | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Alexander Vasilev | L 46 26 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Zhe Jiang
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Omar Jasika
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Semen Pankin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Dalibor Svrcina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Naoya Honda
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–64 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 66% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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