Luca Castagnola vs Yoan NaydenovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Yoan Naydenov have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 2 sets to Naydenov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at Plovdiv 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Naydenov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Yoan Naydenov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 0% | 0/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 11% | 2/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 60% | 3/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 1, Naydenov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Naydenov
🏃 Pusher
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 2, 2026
Plovdiv 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Naydenov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Yoan Naydenov | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Naydenov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 9.15 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Castagnola and Naydenov posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Castagnola | Naydenov |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Unknown Player
M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Iannis Miletich
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Erkut Aydin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Sep 2
Luca Castagnola
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Henrik Bladelius
M25 Koszalin · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Unknown Player
M25 Koszalin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Youssef Labbene
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Mark Tsetlin
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–64 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Naydenov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 26% |
| Sets won | 47% | 25% |
| Games won | 50% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Naydenov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Naydenov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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