Luca Castagnola vs Vladyslav OrlovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Vladyslav Orlov have met 1 time since 2026; Vladyslav Orlov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 0 sets to Orlov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Vladyslav Orlov won at M25 Bolzano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Orlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Vladyslav Orlov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | 74% | 35/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 13/35 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/62 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 61% | 28/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 15/33 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 93% | 38/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 15/27 | 85% | 35/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 0, Orlov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Orlov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Vladyslav Orlov.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
M25 Bolzano
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Orlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Vladyslav Orlov | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 75% | 24/32 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 7/23 | 25% | 8/32 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 6% | 2/32 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/32 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/32 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/32 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 30–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | +25.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.97u | +9.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SLO | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Orlov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castagnola's 80%).
| Opponent | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Popovic | W 76 36 75 | W 26 60 64 |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | L 16 16 | W 62 62 |
| Nazar Oliynykov | W 36 75 76 | W 62 61 |
| Jonas Kucera | W 62 62 | W 75 62 |
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | W 36 62 63 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Poznan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Borys Zgola
M25 Poznan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dominik Kellovsky
M25 Poznan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Marcel Zielinski
M15 Bielsko Biala · Semifinals
Aug 8
Wojciech Marek
M15 Bielsko Biala · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Niklas Guttau
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jakub Kusy
M15 Bielsko Biala · 1st Round
Aug 5
Alexander Weis
M25 Bolzano · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–71 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 66% |
| Sets won | 45% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Orlov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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