Luca Castagnola vs Robert StrombachsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Robert Strombachs have met 1 time since 2026; Robert Strombachs leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 1 sets to Strombachs's 2. Their most recent meeting: Robert Strombachs won at M15 Sharm ElSheikh (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Strombachs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Robert Strombachs | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 75% | 51/68 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 25% | 24/95 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 62% | 40/65 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 92% | 60/65 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 78% | 51/65 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 0, Strombachs 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Strombachs
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 174 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Robert Strombachs.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
M15 Sharm ElSheikh
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Strombachs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Robert Strombachs | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 25/25 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 60% | 15/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 28% | 7/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 20–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | +2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Strombachs has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castagnola's 20%).
| Opponent | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Werblinski | W 62 60 | W 60 61 |
| Fares Zakaria | L 46 26 | W 67 62 75 |
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | W 64 76 |
| Leonardo Rossi | L 64 57 36 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Nagel | L 64 57 46 | W 61 26 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Anton Arzhankin
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Final
Oct 11
Amr Elsayed
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Semifinals
Oct 10
Rihards Neimanis
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Karim Ibrahim
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Oct 7
Paul Jubb
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Semifinals
Oct 3
Michal Krajci
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luca Castagnola
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–96 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 72% |
| Sets won | 47% | 67% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Strombachs |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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