Luca Castagnola vs Melios EfstathiouPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Melios Efstathiou have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 2 sets to Efstathiou's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M15 Nova Gorica (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Efstathiou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Melios Efstathiou | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 70% | 32/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 36% | 25/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 0, Efstathiou 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Efstathiou
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 383 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 17, 2026
M15 Nova Gorica
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Efstathiou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Melios Efstathiou | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Efstathiou |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +16.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | +1.60u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Efstathiou has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Castagnola's 0%).
| Opponent | Castagnola | Efstathiou |
|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Rossi | L 64 57 36 | W 62 76 |
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | W 60 60 |
| Lorenzo Angelini | L 36 16 | L 36 57 |
| Max Basing | L 36 26 | L 62 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli · Final
Sep 13
Filippo Moroni
M25 Pozzuoli · Semifinals
Sep 12
Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Pozzuoli · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Mariano Tammaro
M25 Pozzuoli · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Federico Bove
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Turku · 1st Round
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–70 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Efstathiou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 66% |
| Sets won | 47% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Efstathiou |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Efstathiou |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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