Luca Castagnola vs Maximilian FiglPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Maximilian Figl have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 2 sets to Figl's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M25 Slovenj Gradec (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Figl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Maximilian Figl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 81% | 13/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 0, Figl 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Figl
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Castagnola and Maximilian Figl are 🧱 The Wall types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 140 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M25 Slovenj Gradec
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Figl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Maximilian Figl | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 44% | 7/16 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Figl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 3.02 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | +1.50u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Castagnola and Figl posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Castagnola | Figl |
|---|---|---|
| Fares Zakaria | L 46 26 | L 36 36 |
| Arthur Nagel | L 64 57 46 | W 36 63 76 |
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | W 36 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Sebastian Sorger | L 26 26 | L 26 46 |
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| Luca Parenti | W 76 61 | W 62 36 102 |
| Gabriele Bosio | W 76 62 | L 26 36 |
| Toufik Sahtali | L 16 61 16 | L 36 61 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Melilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Carlos Giraldi
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rafael Giotis
M15 Melilla · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pierre Delage
M25 Rabat · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maxence Rivet
M25 Rabat · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Arthur Nagel
M25 Rabat · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karim Bennani
M25 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–64 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Figl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 42% |
| Sets won | 47% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Figl |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Figl |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.