Luca Castagnola vs Matic HribarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Matic Hribar have met 2 times since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Litija in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Castagnola leads 2–0. Castagnola has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 4 sets to Hribar's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M15 Bologna (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Hribar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Matic Hribar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 2, Hribar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Hribar
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
Both Luca Castagnola and Matic Hribar are 🧱 The Wall types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 140 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
M15 Bologna
C Clay · 1st Round
May 20, 2026
M15 Litija
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Hribar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Matic Hribar | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Hribar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | -40.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | -2.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hribar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Castagnola's 33%).
| Opponent | Castagnola | Hribar |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | W 61 76 |
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | W 36 62 63 | L 06 36 |
| Jan Kupcic | L 67 64 46 | W 26 61 107 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Vaal Urankar
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 29
Leon Giorgi Sarishvili
M15 Telavi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
George Margiev
M15 Telavi · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Pietro Ricci
M15 Telavi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Samvel Aghayan
M15 Telavi · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Jure Siftar
M15 Budapest · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Luca Castagnola
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Bologna · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–64 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Hribar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 33% |
| Sets won | 47% | 35% |
| Games won | 50% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Hribar |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Hribar |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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