Luca Castagnola vs Mak MikovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Mak Mikovic have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 2 sets to Mikovic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M15 Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Mikovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Mak Mikovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 13/35 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 25/62 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 15/33 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 15/27 | 25% | 1/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 0, Mikovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Mikovic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mak Mikovic.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
M15 Umag
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Mikovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Mak Mikovic | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 7/23 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.97u | -6.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SLO | SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Castagnola and Mikovic posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| Nazar Oliynykov | W 36 75 76 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Nik Mikovic
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 19
Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matthew Shapiro
M15 Nova Gorica · 1st Round
Jul 15
Matthew Shapiro
M15 Nova Gorica · 1st Round
Jul 15
Ognjen Milic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Uros Zivkovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 9
Dusan Obradovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–62 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 17% |
| Sets won | 45% | 24% |
| Games won | 48% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Mikovic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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