Luca Castagnola vs Luca ParentiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Castagnola and Luca Parenti have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Castagnola has taken 2 sets to Parenti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at M25 Bolzano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Castagnola | Parenti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Castagnola | Luca Parenti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 24/64 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 14/31 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Castagnola 1, Parenti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Parenti
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
M25 Bolzano
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castagnola | Parenti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castagnola | Luca Parenti | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Parenti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 3.66 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +10.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.32u | +0.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castagnola has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Parenti's 20%).
| Opponent | Castagnola | Parenti |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Chepelev | L 46 46 | L 67 16 |
| Maximilian Figl | W 62 46 63 | L 26 63 210 |
| Unknown Player | L 36 36 | W 60 63 |
| Gabriele Bosio | W 76 62 | L 36 36 |
| Francesco Forti | L 64 46 26 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Matteo Sabbatini
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Blu Baker
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Giulio Stella
M25 Lesa · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Niccolo Mondini
M25 Lesa · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Maximilian Figl
M25 Fano · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Luca Castagnola
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–64 matches
| Metric | Castagnola | Parenti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 34% |
| Sets won | 47% | 38% |
| Games won | 50% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castagnola | Parenti |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castagnola | Parenti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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