Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William DonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Giustino and Matthew William Donald have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew William Donald leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Matthew William Donald won at Bari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giustino | William Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Giustino | Matthew William Donald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 73% | 40/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 27% | 23/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 19/35 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 18/31 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 19/29 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 92% | 48/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 27/43 | 77% | 40/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giustino
🎾 All-Court
Donald
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 322 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Bari Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giustino | Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Giustino | Matthew William Donald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 462 mi · 744 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Giustino and Donald posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Olle Wallin | L 63 36 26 | W 63 75 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 16 67 | W 63 46 75 |
| Benjamin Hassan | L | L 46 26 |
| Miguel Damas | W 76 63 | W 62 76 |
| Ioannis Xilas | W 64 61 | W 64 57 61 |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | W 57 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Laurent Lokoli | W 63 64 | L 63 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Christian Langmo
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Matthew William Donald
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
John Sperle
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila
M25 Sabadell · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Sabadell · 1st Round
Sep 23
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Bari Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Martin Krumich
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lorenzo Giustino
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Olle Wallin
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bari Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Carles Cordoba
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Gianluca Cadenasso
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–84 matches
| Metric | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giustino | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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