Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Giustino and Luca Nardi have met 4 times since 2021; Luca Nardi leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Biella 7 in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Nardi leads 2–0. Nardi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Giustino has taken 5 sets to Nardi's 7. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Chisinau Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giustino | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Giustino | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/69 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 18/29 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 19/27 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 38/45 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 30/45 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giustino 0, Nardi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giustino
🎾 All-Court
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 195 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
Chisinau Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 17, 2026
Moldova Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 1, 2023
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2021
Biella 7
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giustino | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Giustino | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +3.6% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.75u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 354 mi · 570 km | — |
| Route | GER → SUI | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nardi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Giustino's 25%).
| Opponent | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Jerome Kym | L 36 67 | W 64 76 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 67 36 | L 46 46 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 36 67 | L 57 63 46 |
| Viktor Durasovic | W 67 64 63 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Henry Bernet
Sion Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Thiago Cigarran
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Vitaliy Sachko
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Roncadelli
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–69 matches
| Metric | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 44% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giustino | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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