Lorenzo Bocchi vs Matthew William DonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Bocchi and Matthew William Donald have met 2 times since 2026; Matthew William Donald leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Altamura 1 in 2026 on hard. Donald has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bocchi has taken 0 sets to Donald's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matthew William Donald won at M25 Muttenz (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bocchi | William Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Bocchi | Matthew William Donald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 76% | 38/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 15/69 | 25% | 19/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 23/32 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 12/26 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 38/41 | 94% | 44/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 35/41 | 81% | 38/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bocchi 0, William Donald 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bocchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Donald
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
M25 Muttenz
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 28, 2026
M15 Altamura 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bocchi | Donald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Bocchi | Matthew William Donald | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | +5.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.40u | +0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → HUN | SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Donald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bocchi's 50%).
| Opponent | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 75 64 | W 64 63 |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | L 57 57 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
John Sperle
M15 Pecs · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Unknown Player
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Unknown Player
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Matthew William Donald
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Matic Hribar
M15 Nova Gorica · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Louis Wessels
M25 Muttenz · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
M25 Muttenz · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Lorenzo Bocchi
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel · Final
Jul 12
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel · Semifinals
Jul 11
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Kassel · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–77 matches
| Metric | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 65% |
| Sets won | 61% | 62% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bocchi | Donald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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