Lorenzo Berto vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Lorenzo Berto
#1095 · 19 yrs
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
#1078 · 20 yrs
3Lorenzo Berto and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Berto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Berto has taken 2 sets to Mordini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Berto won at M15 Bologna (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berto | Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Berto | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 12/18 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 13/46 | 26% | 12/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berto 1, Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mordini
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Berto.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 5, 2026
M15 Bologna
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berto | Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Berto | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.18 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | +6.6% | +37.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.99u | +4.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mordini's 25%).
| Opponent | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Della Corte | W 64 63 | W 63 61 |
| Gabriele Bosio | L 62 36 46 | L 67 64 46 |
| Michele Mecarelli | L 36 60 67 | L 46 46 |
| Felipe Virgili Berini | W | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Della Corte
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Manuel Mazza
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Genoa 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Lorenzo Bocchi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Bologna · Semifinals
Sep 5
Michael Wright
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giannicola Misasi
M15 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Jannik Maute
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–47 matches
| Metric | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 40% |
| Sets won | 41% | 45% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berto | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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