Lorenzo Angelini vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Angelini and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Angelini leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Angelini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Angelini has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Angelini won at M15 Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Angelini | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Angelini | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 15/62 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 16/27 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Angelini 1, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Angelini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Angelini.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
M15 Umag
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Angelini | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Angelini | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +54.3% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | +10.86u | -0.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BUL → NED | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Angelini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Castagnola's 40%).
| Opponent | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Stan Put | W 64 76 | W 36 75 76 |
| Sebastian Sorger | W 62 64 | L 26 26 |
| Melios Efstathiou | W 63 75 | W 46 63 75 |
| Edoardo cherie Ligniere | W 62 61 | W 63 46 61 |
| Luca Potenza | L 46 63 46 | L 67 46 |
| Tomasz Berkieta | W 62 61 | W 61 62 |
| Francesco Forti | L 26 16 | L 64 46 26 |
| Jacopo Bilardo | L 46 16 | L 76 57 26 |
| Federico Iannaccone | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Amit Vales | L 46 62 36 | L 36 75 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Verbeek
M25 Oldenzaal · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Steffan Van Weldam
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Stan Put
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Petr Nesterov
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Denia · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andres Santamarta Roig
M25 Denia · 1st Round
Jul 21
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 45% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Angelini | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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