Loes Ebeling Koning vs Mathilde LolliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.19 or shorter, Loes Ebeling Koning has won 11 of 11 (100%). The price implied 88%, so Loes Ebeling Koning has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mathilde Lollia meets Loes Ebeling Koning in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the Lisboa Belem Open on October 12, 2026. The clay court encounter pits the world number 640 against a higher-ranked opponent at 378. Both players arrive on one-match winning streaks after competing three times in the past two weeks.
Neither player has faced the other before. Lollia has won 3 of her last 5 matches while maintaining that rate over her last 10 outings. Ebeling Koning sits at 60% in her last five and 70% over ten, with recent wins over common opponents Alessandra Mazzola and Marta Dobric where Lollia fell short. On clay specifically, Ebeling Koning holds a 14-6 record (70%), substantially stronger than Lollia's 9-11 mark (45%).
Lollia operates as a counterpuncher, reading pace and angles to redirect her opponent's rhythm. Ebeling Koning's all-court game includes reliable serve, solid ground strokes, and court movement across the full spectrum of the game. The match asks Lollia to construct points with patience and timing; it asks Ebeling Koning to impose her range and variety before counterattacking patterns can take root.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ebeling Koning | Lollia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Loes Ebeling Koning | Mathilde Lollia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 29/36 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/59 | 23% | 10/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 24/34 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 11/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 68% | 17/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Koning
👑 The Complete Package
Lollia
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Loes Ebeling Koning.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Koning and Lollia have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Koning | Lollia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Loes Ebeling Koning | Mathilde Lollia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 15/28 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 8/28 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Koning | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 26–8 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +25.4% | +45.9% |
| Units P/L | +8.62u | +5.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Koning | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → ESP → AUT → SUI | POL → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Koning has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Lollia's 20%).
| Opponent | Koning | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Teodora Naidenova | W 63 61 | L 46 46 |
| Alessandra Mazzola | W 61 61 | L 57 36 |
| Nastasja Schunk | L 57 46 | L 06 46 |
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | W 61 60 | W 64 16 60 |
| Elena Milovanovic | L 46 36 | L 63 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pia Lovric
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rositsa Dencheva
W50 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Teodora Naidenova
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W50 Plovdiv · Semifinals
Sep 26
Alessandra Mazzola
W50 Plovdiv · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Jule Niemeier
W50 Plovdiv · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round
Sep 23
Elizara Yaneva
W50 Pazardzhik · Final
Sep 19
Maria Martinez Vaquero
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Juliana Giaccio
W35 Baza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Carolyn Ansari
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Martha Matoula
W75 Le Neubourg · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Alyssa Reguer
W75 Le Neubourg · 1st Round
Sep 16
Marine Szostak
W75 Le Neubourg · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Manoly Rengeard
W75 Le Neubourg · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–59 matches
| Metric | Koning | Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 48% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |