Liudmila Samsonova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleLiudmila Samsonova and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 4 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 14/24 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 21/44 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 13/28 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +20.9% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.35u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | — |
| Route | UKR → ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samsonova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Maria's 50%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 62 36 63 | W 60 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 46 62 75 | L 36 06 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 76 62 | W 64 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 46 | L 26 57 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 76 57 06 |
| Janice Tjen | W 76 75 | W 63 62 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 62 62 | W 61 67 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 36 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 64 67 46 | L 57 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–60 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 53% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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