Liudmila Samsonova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Liudmila Samsonova and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 4 sets to Maria's 0. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 12/23 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 2, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +11.3% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.81u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samsonova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 46 | L 26 57 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 76 57 06 |
| Janice Tjen | W 76 75 | W 63 62 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 62 62 | W 61 67 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 36 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 64 67 46 | L 57 06 |
| Elise Mertens | L 61 36 06 | L 57 06 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 57 | L 57 26 |
| Emerson Jones | W 64 61 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–60 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 50% |
| Sets won | 48% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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