Lisa Zaar vs Matilde JorgePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 13 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.33 or shorter, Lisa Zaar has won 19 of 23 (83%). The price implied 77%, so Lisa Zaar has beaten it by 6 points.
At 3.23 or longer, Matilde Jorge has won 5 of 14 (36%). The price implied 25%, so Matilde Jorge has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lisa Zaar and Matilde Jorge meet next at the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon on October 13 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zaar | Jorge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lisa Zaar | Matilde Jorge | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 35/42 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 20/70 | 25% | 16/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 27/43 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 36/44 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 35/44 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zaar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Jorge
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 536 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matilde Jorge.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Zaar and Jorge have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zaar | Jorge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lisa Zaar | Matilde Jorge | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zaar | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -19.0% | +24.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.61u | +3.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zaar | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 5 |
| Events | 4 | 5 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → SRB → MNE → SUI | ROU → GEO → EGY → ECU → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jorge has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Zaar's 25%).
| Opponent | Zaar | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Malygina | L 26 46 | L 57 26 |
| Arianna Ovarelli | W 62 61 | W 63 75 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | L 46 64 67 | W 60 75 |
| Francisca Jorge | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Jessica Pieri
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Deborah Chiesa
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Sara Cakarevic
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Rebeka Masarova
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Enola Chiesa
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Arianna Ovarelli
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Elena Malygina
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Sinja Kraus
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round
Sep 22
Mia Pohankova
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Anastasia Gasanova
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora · Final
Sep 13
Sofia Johnson
W50 Evora · Semifinals
Sep 12
Katie Swan
W50 Evora · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Zaar | Jorge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |