Lilli Tagger vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐นLilli Tagger
#48 ยท 18 yrs
31 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ซ๐ทVarvara Gracheva
#148 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
24wLilli Tagger and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2026; Lilli Tagger leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Tagger has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lilli Tagger won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tagger | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilli Tagger | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 30/40 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 7/17 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 35/37 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 30/37 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tagger 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tagger
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Gracheva
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Lilli Tagger and Varvara Gracheva are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 5, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | - |
| ROI % | +27.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.30u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 1,304 mi ยท 2,098 km | โ |
| Route | POL โ AUT | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Gracheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tagger's 20%).
| Opponent | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Xin Yu Wang | L 36 63 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 63 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 26 | L 67 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 75 36 06 | L 67 06 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 61 46 75 | W 61 26 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Daria Snigur
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท Final
Jul 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Sara Bejlek
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mai Hontama
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Xinyu Gao
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Sara Bejlek
Athens Open - Athens ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami ยท 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells ยท 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai ยท 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha ยท 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jan 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 16โ57 matches
| Metric | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 38% |
| Sets won | 66% | 36% |
| Games won | 56% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tagger | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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