Lilian Poling vs Milena CiocanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:35 AM ET
Book odds
Lilian Poling and Milena Ciocan meet in 1st Round Qualifying at W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq on October 4, 2026, on hard court. Neither player carries a ranking into the event, and the two have no prior head-to-head record.
Ciocan has found more consistent form in recent weeks, winning four of her last ten matches and carrying a 40% win rate over the past five. Poling has struggled by contrast, winning just one of five recent outings and dropping four straight. Both players have shown modest returns on hard court historically, with Ciocan at 41% and Poling at 35% in their recent samples on the surface.
Poling operates as a defensive baseline player built around consistency and length of point, while Ciocan plays a disruptive style that thrives on forcing errors and seizing short windows. Ciocan's recent momentum and higher hard court reliability will test Poling's ability to construct rallies and stay patient, and Poling's defensive solidity will demand that Ciocan sustain the aggression needed to break through.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Ciocan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lilian Poling | Milena Ciocan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 8/27 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 5/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🧱 The Wall
Ciocan
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🧱 The Wall archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 739 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lilian Poling.
The Wall players often use elite returner and low unforced errors to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Poling and Ciocan have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Ciocan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lilian Poling | Milena Ciocan | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Ciocan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.04 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -8.0% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.40u | -1.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Ciocan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → COL | POR → COL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Poling and Ciocan posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Poling | Ciocan |
|---|---|---|
| Lara Savic | W 62 61 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fanny Pire
W35 Reims · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Emma Dong
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Alexandra Vagramov
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 22
Emma Dong
W75 Granby · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Maria Sara Popa
W15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
May 14
Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
W15 Bucharest · 1st Round
May 13
Marine Szostak
W35 Reims · 1st Round
Sep 30
Margaux Komano
W35 Reims · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Chrystal Lopez
W35 Reims · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hajar Crinebouch
W15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Sep 1
Katarina Kujovic
W15 Cluj Napoca · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Alexia Iulia Marginean
W15 Cluj Napoca · 1st Round
Jul 22
Vanesa Salaiova
W15 Cluj Napoca · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Noa Krznaric
W15 Cluj Napoca · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–28 matches
| Metric | Poling | Ciocan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 53% |
| Sets won | 38% | 51% |
| Games won | 45% | 51% |